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AI in Economics: An Old Friend in a New Spotlight

  • Oby Anagwu
  • Oct 4, 2024
  • 2 min read

Updated: Jul 21


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Ever feel like AI just popped up out of nowhere and suddenly took over the world? Well, in the world of economics, AI has been the cool kid on the block for years. Let's briefly go into how economists have been using AI long before it became the talk of the town.


The OG AI: Predictive Models

In the 1950s, while most folks were grooving to Elvis and swooning over James Dean, economists were getting cozy with a different kind of star, called predictive models. These were the original AI, using statistical techniques to forecast economic trends.


Fun Fact

Did you know that the Phillips Curve, which shows the relationship between unemployment and inflation, was one of the first widely used predictive models in economics? It's been helping economists make predictions since 1958.


Machine Learning: The Economics Department's Secret Weapon

Fast forward to the 1980s and 1990s. While the rest of the world was obsessing over neon colors and boy bands, economists were quietly falling in love with machine learning. They used these algorithms to:

1. Predict stock market trends

2. Analyze consumer behavior (turns out, we're all pretty predictable)

3. Detect fraud in financial transactions


Big Data and AI: A Match Made in Econ Heaven

As we rolled into the 2000s, big data exploded onto the scene. Suddenly, economists had more information at their fingertips than ever before. But how to make sense of it all? Enter AI, stage left.

AI techniques like neural networks and deep learning became the MVPs of economic analysis. They could:

- Crunch massive datasets faster

- Identify patterns that human brains might miss

- Make increasingly accurate predictions about everything from housing prices to global trade patterns


Real-World Example: The Fed's Secret AI Weapon

The Federal Reserve has been using machine learning models to improve its economic forecasts since the early 2010s.


So, What's the Big Deal Now?

You might be wondering, "If economists have been using AI for so long, why all the hype now?" Well:

1. AI has gone mainstream

What was once the domain of nerdy economists and computer scientists is now in everyone's pocket.


2. The tech has leveled up

Modern AI is like those old predictive models, but faster, smarter, and able to handle more complex tasks.


3. Ethical concerns have become a concern

As AI becomes more powerful, we are starting to grapple with questions about privacy, bias and the future of work.



So, while the rest of the world may just be waking up to the AI revolution, economists have been using it for decades. From predicting recessions to analyzing global markets, AI has been the trusty sidekick of economists everywhere.


Next time you hear someone talking about the ‘new’ AI revolution, you can smugly inform them that in economics, AI is practically a senior citizen. Stay curious, and keep embracing that AI future... or should I say, present?

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